The International Air Transport Association (IATA) has announced that January 2010 demand for international scheduled air traffic showed continuing improvement, with international cargo demand up 283% with only a 37% increase in capacity
This pushed the cargo load factor to 496%, a significant change from the 401% recorded in January 2009
There are large geographical differences in the improvements The strongest upturns have been seen in markets where economic recovery from the recession has been strongest - Asia, Latin America and the Middle East
Compared to the low point in the cycle (December 2008 - January 2009), international freight traffic has regained about 283%, although this is still 3-4% below the early- 2008 peak level
The sharp improvement in airfreight, which accelerated to 3% in January compared with December, is being driven by businesses re-stocking depleted inventories This part of the inventory cycle will not last much longer Durable airfreight growth will require consumers to start buying again and businesses to return to making investments While these improvements are beginning to be seen in Asia, Europe and North America lag behind
With an 116% improvement in January compared to the previous year, carriers in Europe stand out for their sluggish demand recovery Freight volumes are only 7% above the December 2008 low and 15% below the cycle peak
"We are starting to see some encouraging signs in demand, albeit with large differences among the regions," said IATA director general & CEO Giovanni Bisignani "Unfortunately, the constraints of the archaic bilateral system limit airlines from being able to respond as normal businesses to market opportunities Political borders limit opportunities for consolidation And we still require governments to negotiate open markets"
Under the auspices of IATA's Agenda for Freedom initiative, in November 2009, seven governments (Chile, Malaysia, Panama, Singapore, Switzerland, the United Arab Emirates and the US) and the European Commissions signed a multilateral statement of policy principles focused on liberalisation of the air transport industry Premised on maintaining a level playing field, the policy principles support liberalisation of ownership, market access and pricing Its latest impact can be seen in the recent signing of an open skies bilateral agreement between Panama and Colombia
"With each open skies bilateral, we take a step in the right direction Recovering from the years of lost growth as a result of this crisis is a long and hard journey Governments should not make it any more difficult by maintaining policies that restrict airlines ability to do business," said Bisignani
He added that airlines have lost two to three of growth, and while demand is moving in the right direction, better volumes do not necessarily mean better profits IATA expects the industry's 2010 losses to be around US%56 billion
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